Centralized crypto speculators keep betting on lower Bitcoin prices. Leveraged funds added shorts for the week ended Tuesday September 22, 2026, boosting their net bearish stance to -7,953 contracts even as the total number of open contracts grew. It's the latest Bitcoin COT report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which keeps track of who's betting what on regulated derivatives markets.
From the data
CFTC Commitments of Traders
The Lede: Fresh Bears Add to Shorts
Leveraged funds' net position worsened by 1,599 contracts week-over-week. This change, from -6,354 on September 15 to -7,953 by September 22, shows a re-expansion of the speculative short base. The category, which includes hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, has been net short for the entire 12-report window. While they added to shorts, the overall market grew busier, too. Total open interest rose by 1,542 contracts to a 12-week high of 22,315. That suggests new money entered the market, either to take the other side of the leveraged-fund bets or to initiate fresh positions elsewhere, while these funds leaned harder into a Bitcoin drop.
Three Months, Mostly Short
The leveraged-fund posture hasn't changed its sign in months. The full 12-week Bitcoin COT series reveals a range from a relatively modest net short of -6,354 contracts to this window's peak pessimism of -8,089. Those extremes define the recent 'short and shorter' regime for fast-money traders.
| Report date | Open interest | Lev fund long | Lev fund short | Lev fund net | Asset manager net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | 18,832 | 4,406 | 11,123 | -6,717 contracts | +2,385 contracts |
| 2026-07-14 | 19,385 | 4,015 | 11,506 | -7,491 contracts | +2,815 contracts |
| 2026-07-21 | 20,527 | 4,042 | 11,991 | -7,949 contracts | +2,727 contracts |
| 2026-07-28 | 20,019 | 3,295 | 10,168 | -6,873 contracts | +2,299 contracts |
| 2026-08-04 | 20,143 | 4,243 | 11,483 | -7,240 contracts | +2,542 contracts |
| 2026-08-11 | 21,185 | 4,997 | 12,049 | -7,052 contracts | +2,234 contracts |
| 2026-08-18 | 21,760 | 4,488 | 11,927 | -7,439 contracts | +2,732 contracts |
| 2026-08-25 | 22,216 | 3,181 | 11,270 | -8,089 contracts | +2,945 contracts |
| 2026-09-01 | 19,697 | 4,530 | 12,150 | -7,620 contracts | +3,698 contracts |
| 2026-09-08 | 21,083 | 5,146 | 13,038 | -7,892 contracts | +3,743 contracts |
| 2026-09-15 | 20,773 | 5,545 | 11,899 | -6,354 contracts | +2,760 contracts |
| 2026-09-22 | 22,315 | 4,745 | 12,698 | -7,953 contracts | +3,171 contracts |
CFTC Traders in Financial Futures. Leveraged-fund net is long minus short.
August 25: Peak Pessimism Among Funds
The leveraged-fund net short position hit its maximum in this stored window on Tuesday August 25, 2026 at -8,089 contracts. That week, their short book stood at 11,270 contracts while they held a scant 3,181 longs, the smallest long exposure in 12 reports. They were effectively betting 3.5 dollars lower for every dollar higher. Open interest had been building to 22,216 by that point, suggesting an influx of speculative capital wanting a piece of the short side before a potential move. This extreme looks like a conviction peak.
A Brief, Sharp Squeeze on September 15
The mood lightened briefly three weeks later. On Tuesday September 15, leveraged funds cut their net short down to -6,354 contracts, the least net short of the 12-week period. The shift came from a double-move: funds added a significant block of long contracts (5,545, a 416-contract increase) while aggressively slashing 1,139 short contracts (from 13,038 to 11,899). It was a classic short-covering rally in the COT data. That net -6,354 print was 1,735 contracts less short than the prior week, marking a temporary pause in Bitcoin COT pessimism. The respite was short-lived.
The Big Money Bets on the Other Side
Institutional asset managers, a category that includes pension funds and endowments, have consistently taken the opposite side of the leveraged-fund trade. Their net long position registered at +3,171 contracts for the latest September 22 report, down modestly from the +3,743 posted a week prior. Over the entire 12 weeks, asset managers have never flipped net short. Their net long peaked at +3,743 contracts on September 8. This positioning suggests a persistent, longer-term bullish stance. XOOMAR reads the two groups as natural counterparties in the market, with fast-money funds selling to deep-pocketed institutions.
The Week's Fine Print
The details from the latest Bitcoin COT report show leveraged funds long 4,745 contracts and short 12,698 contracts. The net -7,953 is the third-most pessimistic print in the 12-week window, trailing only the -8,089 on August 25 and the -7,949 on July 21. The week-over-week move back toward extreme shorting is clear. Leveraged funds cut 800 long contracts (from 5,545 to 4,745) and added 799 short contracts (from 11,899 to 12,698). Asset managers' net +3,171, while down week-over-week, remains a stout long position. The data is a snapshot of Tuesday September 22, a day where open interest for Bitcoin futures settled at its highest point in three months. The CFTC's next weekly report isn't in this window, so no forecast or trend is implied.
Ether's Parallel COT Sees a Similar Squeeze
Ether's cash-settled futures market, a separate CFTC series, underwent a comparable dynamic. In that dataset, Ether leveraged funds were net short -7,722 contracts on September 15. By September 22, they had leaped further into bearish territory, hitting a net -10,617 contracts. That's a worsening of 2,895 contracts in a single week. Open interest for Ether futures also surged, from 28,413 to 29,985. While part of the same weekly CFTC report family, this Ether positioning is a separate series and the data doesn't show causation between the two.
| Report date | Open interest | Lev fund net |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 20,431 | -3,205 contracts |
| 2026-08-11 | 21,970 | -3,998 contracts |
| 2026-08-18 | 22,684 | -4,395 contracts |
| 2026-08-25 | 26,868 | -8,385 contracts |
| 2026-09-01 | 24,619 | -5,325 contracts |
| 2026-09-08 | 26,564 | -7,286 contracts |
| 2026-09-15 | 28,413 | -7,722 contracts |
| 2026-09-22 | 29,985 | -10,617 contracts |
Related CFTC series. Not caused by the Bitcoin print.
Primary Sources & Disclosures
This article was written with AI tools. It's information, not investment, legal or tax advice. Editorial policy
Written by
XOOMAR
Data desk
XOOMAR publishes free market data from primary sources, with an open API. When something we publish is wrong, it's corrected in place.










